Current Signal Comparison
Live signal check: which indicators are in the warning zone right now, and which past events the same signals flashed before. Click an event name to jump to its archive entry (with the 2 months K chart). Click "Indicator Status" to see that indicator's detail.
Scenario Projection
For every indicator currently in the warning zone, this shows the path the S&P 500 / BTC actually took after that same line was crossed in the past: why the reading is abnormal → matching historical events → a path projection anchored to today's price.A projection is not a forecast — it is the quantile spread of comparable historical samples. Sample size n and the unconditional benchmark are always shown; anything with n below 20 is a hint, not evidence.
Six-Month Projection
All current indicators are compressed into one state vector, the historically most similar days are retrieved, and their actual daily paths over the following 126 trading days are stacked. Every line on the chart genuinely happened; none is model extrapolation. Read the self-audit verdict below before reading the chart.
Event Data Table
Timeline Overview
Y-axis = same-day % change · click a dot to jump back to its table rowLeading Indicator Dashboard
Current value fetched live; shows a snapshot when the fetch failsThe warning indicators that keep recurring across the archive are distilled into this dashboard. Each card shows what it measures, which past events it flashed ahead of, the warning and red-alert thresholds, and a "check it yourself" link. Green = normal range, yellow = warning, red = red alert.